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micpre13

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Market—Welfare1

TheFirstWelfareTheorem

•Inthelastlecturetwoconceptswereintroduced:Paretoefficiencyandgeneralequilibrium.Howdotheyrelate?•Theorem:ThefirstwelfaretheoremstatesthateverygeneralequilibriuminvolvesaParetoefficientallocation.

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B

x

x2B

x

x

A

•Theproofworksbycontradiction.Supposetherewasanon-Paretoefficientallocationwhichwasalsoageneralequilibrium.Thispointcannotlieonthecontractcurve(thedashedline)sinceitisnotefficient.

•SupposeitwasapointlikexA.Ifitisageneralequilibriumaswell,consumerAmustbemaximisinggivenprices(illustratedbythebudgetline).ButconsumerBmustbemaximisingalso—sayatpointxB.•xAcannotbeequaltoxBasitisnotonthecontractcurve.ThereforexBisadifferentpoint.

222

•Butnowthemarketforgood2doesnotclear:x2A+xB>ωA+ωB—acontradiction(thisisnotanequilibrium).

Market—Welfare2

MarketFailure

•Assumptionsneedtobemadeforthistheoremtowork.Therearethreecrucialones.

1.NoExternalities:Eachagent’sconsumptiondecisiondoesnotaffecttheutilityofanyotheragent.2.PriceTakingBehaviour:Eachagentintheeconomybehavesasapricetaker.

3.PricesareKnown:Allthepricesforeachofthegoodsmustbeknowntoeachoftheagents.Importantly,the

consumersdonothavedifferent(asymmetric)informationconcerningthegoods.•Thefirstassumptioniscritical.Thenextlecturedealswiththecaseofexternalitiesinmoredepth.

•Thelastistheminimalinformationrequirement.Agentsneedonlyknowprice.Theyneednotknowthedemandoroutputdecisionsofothers,orhowmuchofagoodisavailable.Theybehave“selfishly”giventheknownprices.•Marketfailureariseswhenanyoftheseassumptionsisnotmet.Externalities,marketpowerandasymmetricinformationareallexamplesofmarketfailure.

Market—Welfare3

TheInvisibleHand

•Whataretheimplicationsofthistheorem?

•Inageneralequilibriumeveryonemaximisesutility“selfishly”givenprices.Firms“selfishly”maximiseprofits.•However,asaresultofthisselfishbehaviour(giventheassumptionsdiscussedearlier)asociallydesirableoutcomearises.Anallocationisachievedwhereno-onecanbemadebetteroffwithoutmakingsomeoneelseworseoff.•ThisisaformalisationoftheinvisiblehandargumentofAdamSmith.

•Whatroleisthereforgovernmentinterventioninsuchanefficientworld?Therearetwopossibilities:1.Marketfailure:Ifoneoftheassumptionsfail,theallocationmaynolongerbeefficient.2.DistributiveGoals:Paretoefficiencysaysnothingaboutdistributionalfairness.

Market—Welfare4

TheSecondWelfareTheorem

•Anequilibriumisefficient,areefficientallocationsalwayspartofanequilibrium?

•Theorem:ThesecondwelfaretheoremstatesthateveryParetoefficientallocationcanbesupportedbyageneralequilibriumsetofpricesgivenasuitablereallocationoftheendowment.

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B

ω

ω•

x

A

EquilibriumPrices

•Thedemonstrationproceedsconstructively.WhichsetofpricescansupporttheaboveParetoefficientallocation(x)asageneralequilibrium?Theansweristhegivenbythebudgetlinethatseparatesthetwoindifferencecurves.•Inordertosupportxtheendowmentwouldneedtoreallocatedfromωtoω󰀂.

Market—Welfare5

ConvexityandtheTheorem

•Thecrucialassumptionhereisthatofconvexity.Preferencesneedtobewell-behavedforthetheoremtowork.•Whatwouldhappeniftheywerenot?Considerthefollowingcase.Ahaswell-behavedpreferences.Bdoesnot.

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B

x

x

A

•Canapointlikexbesupportedasageneralequilibrium?Thebudgetlineisasetofprices,separatingthetwo

indifferencecurves.Aismaximising.Bisnot—theycoulddobetter,bychoosingxB.

•xBmaximisesutilitygiventhesepricesforconsumerB,xmaximisesutilityforconsumerA.Thisisnotageneralequilibriumsincethemarketforgood2isnotclearing.

Market—Welfare6

ImplicationsoftheTheorem

•Noticethatconvexityisonlyrequiredforthesecondtheorem.Thefirsttheoremholdsforanypreferences.•Whataretheimplicationsofthesecondtheorem?

•Distributionalissuescanbeseparatedfromefficiencyissues.Agovernment,operatinginsuchaworldcan“simply”transferendowmentstoachieveanydistributionalgoalstheymighthaveandleavethemarkettoattainefficiency.•Pricesplaytworolesinthemarket,(i)allocative—relativescarcityofthetwogoodsand(ii)distributive—howmuchagentscanafford.Thesecanbeseparated.Donotusepricestoattaindistributivegoals,useendowments.•Ofcourse,suchatransferofendowmentsisnotsosimple—itmaybeimpossible.

•Note:Althoughonlypureexchangeeconomieshavebeenconsideredsofar,everythinggoesthroughinananalogouswayforaproductioneconomy.Theassumptionsneedtoapplybothtoconsumersandfirms.

Market—Welfare7

EfficiencyandWelfare

•ThecontractcurveisthesetofallocationsthatareParetoefficient.

•Byapplyingthefirstandsecondwelfaretheoremsageneralequilibriumwilllieonthiscurveandmoreoveragovernmentcouldtransferendowmentstoachieveanyofthesepoints.Thequestionis:Whichone?•Paretoefficiencysaysnothingabout“fairness”or“justice”.Indeed,theallocationwhereconsumerAgetseverythingandconsumerBgetsnothingisParetoefficient.Itisprobablynotfairhowever.

•Supposethegovernmentcouldrankthevariousallocationsavailable,simplyattachinganumbertoeachoutcome.Theonewiththehighestnumberwouldthenbethebestallocationfromsocietiespointofview.

•Howshouldthegovernmentconstructtheirrankingoverdifferentallocations?Inotherwords,howshouldthegovernmentturnindividualpreferencesintosocialwelfare?Howcanpreferencesbeaggregated?

Market—Welfare8

AggregatingPreferences

•Supposetherearethreeagents(1,2and3)intheeconomyandthreepossibleallocations:a,bandc.•Supposethefollowingtableillustratesthepreferencesthethreeindividualshaveoverthevariousallocations.

Agent1abc

Agent2

bca

Agent3

cab

•Howshouldtheirpreferencesbeaggregated?Supposeamajorityvotingmechanismisproposed.Givenachoicebetweenaandb,awouldwin(agents1and3wouldvotefora).Givenachoicebetweenbandc,bwouldwin(agents1and2wouldvoteforb).Givenachoicebetweenaandc,cwouldwin(agents2and3wouldvoteforc).•Sothissocialorderingisnottransitiveeventhoughtheutilityfunctionofeachagentis.

•Isthereabetterwaytorankthethreealternatives?Whatpropertiesshouldsuchasocialwelfarefunctionhave?

Market—Welfare9

Arrow’sImpossibilityTheorem

•Supposetheaggregationmethod(orsocialwelfarefunction)hadthreeproperties:

1.Givenasetofcomplete,transitiveandreflexivepreferences,aggregationshouldresultinsocialpreferencesthatarecomplete,transitiveandreflexive(unlikemajorityvoting).2.Ifeveryonepreferssomeallocationatoanother,b,thenashouldbesociallypreferredtob.

3.Socialpreferencesbetweenaandbshouldonlydependonthewaythatagentsrankaandbandnotontherelativerankofanyother“irrelevant”allocationc.•Theorem:Arrow’simpossibilitytheoremstatesthatanymechanismfortheaggregationofpreferences(socialwelfarefunction)whichsatisfiestheabovethreepropertiesisadictatorship.

•Inotherwords,thesocialrankingscorrespondexactlywithoneindividual’srankings—thesocialwelfarefunctionissimplytheutilityfunctionofaparticularagent.

•Thereisno“perfect”waytorankallocations.Howcanthegovernmentchoosebetweenallocations?

Market—Welfare10

SocialWelfare

•Obviously,theyusealessthan“perfect”socialwelfarefunction.Eitheroneofthepropertiesisnotsatisfiedortheyuseadictatorshipwelfarefunction.Surelythisisbad?Perhapsnot.

•Formally,asocialwelfarefunction(SWF)mapsindividualutilityfunctionstoanumber—socialwelfare.•ConsidertheRawlsianandUtilitariansocialwelfarefunctionswhicharegivenrespectivelyby:

WR(u1,...,un)=minui

i

andWU(u1,...,un)=

n󰀁i=1

ui

•ConsidertheRawlsianSWF.Itsatisfiesproperty1—sinceitissimplyautilityfunctionandhencecomplete,

transitiveandreflexive.Itsatisfiesproperty2,sinceifeveryoneprefersatobthentheminimumutilityindividualprefersatobandhencetheSWFranksaaboveb.

•Itisindependentofirrelevantalternatives,c,sinceallindividuals(includingtheonewiththesmallestutility)rankaandbindependentlyofc.Hence,theremustbeadictator.Thereis.Theleastwelloffagent.Isthissobad?•TheUtilitarianSWFalsoeitherbreaksoneofthethreeconditionsorisadictatorship.Exercise:Which?

Market—Welfare11

WelfareMaximisation

•ThegovernmentwishestochoosethebestallocationaccordingtotheSWF—itwishestomaximisewelfare.•Notallallocationsarepossible.Theutilitypossibilitiessetisthesetoffeasibleallocations.

u2u2

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u∗2•

u∗2•

UU

0

u∗1

u1

0

u∗1

u1

•ThefeasibleallocationsliewithinthesetsUinthegraphabove.TheboundaryofthissetiscalledthePareto

frontier.Theisowelfarelines—linesofequalsocialwelfareareillustratedfortwoexamples.

•ThefirstexampleisforaRawlsianSWF—itresultsinequality,u∗1=u2.ThesecondexampleisforaUtilitarian

SWF—“thegreatestgoodtothegreatestnumber”—itdoesnotresultinequality,u∗1>u2.

•NoticethateveryParetoefficientpoint(apointontheParetofrontier)isthemaximumofsomeSWF.

Market—Welfare12

Fairness,EnvyandEquity

•Anotherapproachmightbetoproposeaparticulartypeofallocation—afaironeforexample.

•Whatisafairallocation?Anenvy-freeorequitableallocationisonewhereconsumerAdoesnotpreferthebundleconsumerBgetsandvice-versa.IntheEdgeworthboxtheotherconsumer’sbundleisthe“mirrorimage”bundle.

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B

x

ω

y

A

•xisafairallocation,(if)itisequitableandefficient.Neitherconsumerwouldprefertobeaty—thatis,neither

consumerwantstoswapbundleswiththeother.Noticethatωliesonthisbudgetlinealso—equalendowments.•Infactifbothconsumersstartwithanequalamountofthetwogoodseachtheywilltradetoafairallocation.Acompetitiveequilibriumfromequaldivisionmustbeafairallocation.

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